Regime Change Isn't Necessarily a Sure Thing In Iran
Regime Change in Iran isn't exactly a sure thing.
First off, on June 21, 2025…Donald Trump ordered bombings of three of Iran’s Nuclear Program sites (that were under ground). Now, MAGA didn’t want this to happen, nor did any other American, nor did anybody in congress. However, these bombings are permitted if and only if Congress has been informed within 48 hours. Meaning by 8:30 p.m. Monday night, Congress must be let known what happened. However treat this as as breaking news story where info is sketch and/or non existent. With that said however, Trump has said something that most Americans probably are thinking…there must be a regime change in Iran. Now I will warn you all now, that a new government will need time to get their feet on the ground, and to prevent the Ayatollahs from having proxies in power.
Now, remember Iran was a full-on democracy, up until 1979. Then, the Ayatollah had decided he didn’t like that and took on the Shah, who was ran out of Iran. They haven’t been able to get to him, and set up a very restricti8ve society where there’s no freedom…just misery. It has been going on for quite some time, but when a young woman was killed in prison for simply not wearing a Hijab, the protests were sustained. Also the Ayatollah holds the power so he can overrule the parliament, and the President.
That said, either extreme isn’t a sure thing. Yes, it’s a chance that proxies or somebody worse could come in. However, there’s another extreme, that a new government is set, and laws are set to prevent this from happening again. Now, keep in mind that this is not easy. In fact with History we know that Regime Changes things tend to be a little messy.
For example I mentioned Syria. I will also mention December 25th, 1989 when Nicolae and Elena Ceaușescu were liquidated in a trial that only took a few hours. That was how much anger the Romanian people had (as a note, Romania has since banned the death penalty). However, this regime change was a little painful for growing pains, but the Romanians were able to push through. Also this was about the time where the Soviet Union a couple of years later, were going to implode. This also includes the Reunification of Germany, the fall of the Berlin Wall, and the resignation of Gorbachev.
Now, as for Iran, I will say this…regime change will not happen overnight…it will happen gradually then all at once. For example, the fall of the Soviet Union happened gradually, then all at once. The fall of Assad also happened gradually, and all at once. and so-on. Now even the people of Iran realize that getting a new government in is going to be as important as making sure the right people are fit for the job, and to restore freedoms taken from them in 1979.
So yes, a Regime Change will happen in Iran eventually/suddenly. Also it won’t be easy so the people will need to be ready with it. Once that happens and the loyalists to the Ayatollah are flushed from power, then will Iran be able to live in peace. Of course, Iran will still have to take the onus to create a stable government.
Even with what has happened, one should remember that the sabre rattling and the rhetoric is just that. However, for a regime change to be truly effective, it must happen with the Iranian people, and the Iranian police and military (including the Revolutionary Guard). Once that is done, then there will be a new government, where people can be free, and not have to have to worry about going to jail for any little thing.
Regime change isn’t easy, but it will happen gradually, then all at once. This is something outside of the USA’s control, and this is something that will have to be figured out by the Iranians. This is also something that has to be figured out by the Russians, the Belarusian, and others in oppressive regimes. I want you to also to remember that as for us, we must work on what we can control This is something that’s not in our control. We also must be vigilant but to actually live our lives.
Remember there’s going to be sensationalism of this to high hell, and you need to be prepared for this. Practice media literacy and logic and ask serious questions to yourself. Also try to refrain from sharing alarmist/doomer hot takes. Because education and truth are the antidotes of ignorance and lies. Thanks for reading and I’ll see you next time.
Actually, from 1953 on, Iran was very much an autocracy under the Shah. They DID make a stab at democracy just after WWII but the Abadan Crisis put an end to that. The latter got kicked off in 1951 when their Parliament (with full backing of then-Prime Minister Mohammed Mossadeq) voted to nationalize the local oil industry, which the British had control of. The results: two years of coups, black propaganda and black ops meddling that left the Shah wholy in charge.
From there, you get the US backing Saddam Hussein, the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s (and the related Iran-Contra scandal), the invasion of Kuwait that ended Hussein's US support and of course the Iraq War. So screwing up with Iran is anything but new.
Do you really believe Iran when they say they moved all their nuclear materials prior to the attack? How do we know what's true and what isn't? And how will this come back and haunt Trump?